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Within the DACH region softwood lumber prices in June are still on the rise due to the high demand in China and USA but also within Europe for construction. Many countries are promoting wooden buildings for climate reasons. Sawmills are at limit, struggeling to get logs and can not expand
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Despite attractive construction prices in Germany, KVH hasn’t gained momentum in the first quarter. As different German manufacturers report, KVH has been priced under pressure after the new year. Particularly in March, after price increases were already announced for 1 April. In fact, the prices plummeted. In auction sales, it was sold clearly at prices under EUR 300/cbm...
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In November, the producer price indices in lumber have made a slight recovery. The indices for KVH and boards remain clearly below the previous year, some of them have also lost again from the previous month. Most clearly. the negative price trend affects KVH and chipboard panels, a sign that price pressure is strong due to oversupply.
The significant increase in the price index for pellets and briquettes can not be explained by seasonal effects. Compared with the same month last year, prices in November this year are more than 6 percent higher. The price advantage of pellets over fuel oil is shrinking.
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During summer, both price and demand addressed to the KVH have remained stable in Germany. This was unanimously acknowledged by several producers. However, in the respective holiday period, demand weakened slightly. Apart from that, the holiday season did not have any noticeable effects. Currently...
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Non-integrated manufacturers of finger-jointed squares and beams (KVH) currently seems to have a price advantage. They can use special offers in raw squares of a few large sawmills and so reduce prices for KVH products. In the face of the high log prices, price query for November and December in KVH surprises with low results. Official price lists show still € 290/cbm (6er bars), but many manufacturers report lower prices.
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Germany's sawing, planing and impregnating plants were able to increase their sales by 1.71% in September compared to the same month of the previous year. Even a sales increase of 16.9% results from the accumulation over the first nine months. Main driving force of this increase were domestic sales with an increase of over 21%.
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Softwood lumber prices fell also in November and have decreased by 3.2 points in the past three months. Finger-jointed squares and beams (KVH) showed only a slight decrease and so were representative for most products included in the index. Only in wood chips and pellets (+4,38%) index showed an increase in the last 3 months, with chips remaining at almost the same level as in the reference month last year.
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In July 2011, total and domestic sales of the German sawing, planing and impregnating plants were well above the comparable month last year. While sales outside the euro zone rose as well, they went into reverse in Europe (Euro zone). Compared to June 2011, the domestic sales increased, exports stagnated.
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It is more likely that the holiday season and not yet the falling softwood lumber prices are responsible for the sales decline of the German sawing, planing and impregnating plants in August 2011 (compared to July). Sales abroad fell more than domestic sales.
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For the large softwood sawmills in Germany June 2011 brought a slight recovery in exports of Spruce and Fir lumber. Compared to the same month last year, exports increased by 5% to 352,388 cubic meters. Rise in Austria exports (+ 67%) was particularly obvious. This is probably an effect of Austrian lumber processors who change their buying behavior due to the strong Swiss franc buying now German goods.
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After several months of reduced sales, German Pine lumber exports have slightly recovered in June 2011. Compared to the same month last year, exports rose by 6% to 84,651 cubic meters. Half-yearly export figures were still in the red, showing a volume of 406,052 cubic meters (- 9%). Strong growth was recorded in exports to Belgium, Italy and Austria. China and Egypt received much less goods from Germany.
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At first glance, situation for the big German softwood sawmills is not bad: high demand for pallets and packaging lumber, passably good demand for construction assortments, price increases in recent weeks and a sometimes more than adequate log supply. At second glance, there are some dark clouds on the horizon, since recovery of the business is highly concentrated in German domestic sales.
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In January, Egypt was still the kingpin among the recipients of German Pine lumber. In February, after the riots and civil commotions, one can't find the country among the most important destinations. From more than 20,000 m³ in January 2010, to still 10,000 m³ in the first month of this year, export volume dwindled to 0 m³.
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Currently, the demand for finger-jointed squares and beams (KVH) in Germany is high. Sometimes demand exceeds supply. After price increases in February and March, prices were raised again by € 5 to 10/m³ in April an May.
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In March 2011, exports of planed Spruce lumber have increased considerably and leveled the weak deliveries in January and February 2011. For the first Quarter of 2011, exports showed an increase of 14% to 140,000 m³. The average prices over all destinations rose by 16% to € 233/m³ in the third month.
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In the 1st Quarter of 2011, German sawmills exported less Spruce Lumber. In March, the statistics of the German Federal Statistical Office <b>Destatis</b>, indeed shows an increase of 2.8%, but this is still not enough to offset losses placed in January (-19%). Calculated average prices are clearly risen.
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In January, volume of German sawmills' pine lumber exports decreased by 7% compared to the same month last year. Simultaneously, export value increased by 12.5%. Therefore, calculated average prices show an increase of almost 21%. Outside the top ten, exports to India and Pakistan experienced a strong increase.
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In February, sales of German sawing, planing and impregnating plants amounted to € 314 million, up 41.5% compared to reference month last year. Domestic sales rose disproportionately high by 47.4%, export sales just by 31.2%.
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Carpenterings and timber constructors have to adjust to Euro 15 to 20 per m³ higher prices. By the 1st of March, small and medium-sized sawmills have already advised their lumber customers of price increases of Euro 5-10 per m³. Another price increase is expected in a few weeks bringing an additional markup of Euro 5-10 per m³.
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Prices below € 270/m³ for finger-jointed squares and beams (KVH) with 6er profiles should be history. Even cheap deals from Austria are only few on the German KVH market. Because of the poor lumber market in Italy, German KVH manufacturers estimate that sawmills in southern Austria were producing more for Germany.
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In December turnover of the German
sawing, planing and impregnating plants was € 224.8 million, up 12%
over the reference month last year. Due to Christmas holidays and
supply shortfalls, production fell compared to the autumn months.
Exports to countries in the Euro zone were even below turnover in
December 2009
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In October, sales of the German sawmills dropped compared with September. Although, with € 352 million the fourth-highest value of 2010 was achieved. Compared with September, only sales outside the euro zone could increase.
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Sawmills in Austria and Germany have come back from the Christmas break conditioned by lots of snow and lacking logs. Only a few, mostly small, sawmills has not yet restarted their production. Log supply has improved rapidly with the thaw.
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